أردوغان يشترط للموافقة على انضمام السويد لحلف الناتو

يلتقي الرئيس التركي رجب طيب أردوغان اليوم الاثنين رئيس الوزراء السويدي أولف كريسترسون في العاصمة الليتوانية فيلنيوس، لإجراء مفاوضات أخيرة بشأن انضمام ستوكهولم إلى حلف شمال الأطلسي “ناتو” (NATO)، ويأتي اللقاء عشية القمة السنوية للناتو المقرر عقدها غدا في فيلنيوس.

وفي مؤتمر صحفي قبل مغادرته إلى لتوانيا للمشاركة في القمة السنوية للناتو المقرر عقدها غدا في فيلنيوس، قال أردوغان اليوم إنه يؤيد سياسة الباب المفتوح للناتو، واعتبر أن”إنهاء الحرب الروسية الأوكرانية سيسهل انضمام كييف للحلف”.

وأضاف أردوغان أن تركيا تنتظر الانضمام للاتحاد الأوروبي منذ أكثر من 50 عاما، داعيا لفتح الباب لها كما فتحت أنقرة الباب لانضمام فنلندا للناتو، وشدد على أن انضمام السويد للحلف يعتمد على وفائها بتعهداتها في المذكرة الثلاثية في مدريد، حسب تعبيره.

وأضاف “سأعقد اجتماعا ثلاثيا في ليتوانيا مع الأمين العام للناتو ورئيس الوزراء السويدي”، مشددا على أن أنقرة “تريد من الناتو الحفاظ على كل تعهداته المتعلقة بمكافحة الإرهاب”.

وكان أردوغان وعد يوم الجمعة الماضي باتخاذ “القرار الأفضل أيا يكن”، في إشارة إلى أن كل الخيارات مطروحة على الطاولة.

ملف العمال الكردستاني

وينتقد أردوغان السلطات السويدية لتساهلها مع المسلحين الأكراد الذين لجؤوا إلى أراضيها، ويدعو إلى تسليم العشرات منهم.

وعبّر الرئيس التركي مجددا عن تحفظاته، وتساءل “كيف يمكن لدولة لا تنأى بنفسها عن المنظمات الإرهابية أن تساهم في الناتو؟”.

وفي يونيو/حزيران الماضي انتقد أردوغان السويد مرارا، بسبب سماحها بحرق نسخة من المصحف.

وتركيا والمجر هما الدولتان الوحيدتان في الحلف اللتان لم تصدقا بعد على عضوية السويد، وذلك على الرغم من الإجراءات التي اتخذتها الدولة الإسكندنافية، بما في ذلك تعديل دستورها واعتماد قانون جديد لمكافحة الإرهاب.

والأسبوع الماضي، حكمت السويد على مواطن تركي من أصل كردي بالسجن 4 سنوات ونصف بتهمة “الابتزاز” و”محاولة تمويل الإرهاب” لصالح حزب العمال الكردستاني الذي تعتبره أنقرة والاتحاد الأوروبي منظمة إرهابية، مما يشكل سابقة في الدولة الإسكندنافية.

مفتاح بيد واشنطن

ويرى محللون أن أحد مفاتيح الملف يكمن في واشنطن، حيث استقبل الرئيس الأميركي جو بايدن الأربعاء الماضي رئيس الوزراء السويدي أولف كريسترسون، مشيرين إلى أن الموافقة التركية مرتبطة بتسليم أنقرة مقاتلات “إف-16” (F-16) الأميركية، وهذا ما تنفيه تركيا.

لكن الرئاسة التركية أوضحت مساء أمس الأحد أن الرئيسين أردوغان وبايدن أجريا خلال النهار محادثة هاتفية تطرقا خلالها إلى انضمام السويد لحلف شمال الأطلسي وتسليم تركيا مقاتلات “إف-16”.

ويوم الجمعة الماضي، أعرب البيت الأبيض عن قناعته بأن انضمام السويد إلى حلف شمال الأطلسي سيتم في “مستقبل غير بعيد”، مشيرا إلى أنه “من الممكن” أن ترفع أنقرة وبودابست تحفظاتهما خلال قمة الحلف.

المصدر : الجزيرة + وكالات

Palestinian children abused in Israeli detention: NGO

Palestinian minors arrested by Israeli forces face immense emotional and physical abuse, according to the rights group Save the Children, which has revealed the tragedy minors go through as detainees in a new report.

In the report published on Monday, the group said some of the former child detainees it spoke to reported violence of a sexual nature, while many others were beaten, handcuffed and blindfolded in small cages in detention centres and upon being moved between centres.

Jason Lee, Save the Children’s country director in the occupied Palestinian territory, said Palestinian children are the only ones in the world to experience systematic prosecution in military courts.

There is a marked increase in the number of former child detainees who suffer nightmares and insomnia and have difficulty returning to their normal life, with many reporting a decrease in hope for their futures.

The study said 86 percent of the 228 former child detainees surveyed were beaten in detention, and 69 percent were strip-searched, adding that 42 percent were injured at the point of arrest, including gunshot wounds and broken bones.

They were also interrogated at unknown locations without the presence of a guardian or caregiver and are often deprived of food, water and sleep, the report says.

In addition, they were often refused access to legal counsel, according to the research.

Save the Children said the former child detainees surveyed were from across the occupied West Bank and had been detained for one month to 18 months.

The report says: “The main alleged crime for these detentions is stone-throwing, which can carry a 20-year sentence in prison for Palestinian children.”

Rise in number of Palestinian children detained by Israel
Palestinian children are the only ones in the world to experience systematic prosecution in military courts [File: Getty Images]

The new research comes as the UN special rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Palestinian territory occupied since 1967 presents evidence on Monday to the Human Rights Council on Palestinian children in detention.

It is estimated that between 500 and 1,000 children are held in Israeli military detention each year.

Former detainee accounts

Osama Arabi, a former detainee who is now 44 years old, said he was strip-searched when he was arrested as a minor.

“I did not understand what they were searching for. They didn’t say. It was humiliating; it made me very angry,” Osama, who was arrested as a 14-year-old, told Al Jazeera.

Save the Children said these practices are a serious and longstanding human rights concern and called for the government of Israel to end the detention of Palestinian children under military law and their prosecution in military courts.

Khalil, who was arrested when he was 13, said he did not receive essential healthcare.

Save the Children quoted him as saying: “I had an injury in my leg. I had a cast and had to crawl to be able to move. I felt my body being torn apart. I had no canes to help me walk, I kept asking soldiers for help during the transfer, but no one helped me.”

Country director Lee said: “Our research shows – once again – that they [Palestinian children] are subject to serious and widespread abuse at the hands of those who are meant to be looking after them.”

SOURCE: AL JAZEERA AND NEWS AGENCIES

محادثات بين الهند وبريطانيا بشأن اتفاق للتجارة الحرة

يعتزم وزير التجارة الهندي بايوش جويال، إجراء محادثات في بريطانيا بشأن اتفاق للتجارة الحرة بين البلدين.

وسيعقد الوزير اجتماعات مع وزراء من الرابطة الأوروبية للتجارة الحرة على مدار يومين اعتباراً من اليوم الاثنين؛ لبحث اتفاق بشأن الشراكة التجارية والاقتصادية.

وأوضحت وزارة التجارة الهندية – في بيان – أن الوزير الهندي سيجتمع مع نظيرته البريطانية كيمى بادينوتش وممثلين لمؤسسات الصناعة في بريطانيا.

وجاء في البيان: “أن هذه المحادثات تتيح فرصة لبحث الأولويات الأساسية لاتفاق للتجارة الحرة مع التركيز على معالجة مسألة الحواجز التجارية وتشجيع الاستثمارات وتعزيز التعاون في مجالات التكنولوجيا والابتكار وحقوق الملكية الفكرية”.

وأشار إلى أن وزير التجارة الهندي سيجتمع أيضا مع وزراء ومسئولين من الرابطة الأوروبية للتجارة الحرة التي تضم سويسرا والنرويج وأيسلندا وليتشتينستاين؛ لتقييم ما تم إحرازه من تقدم نحو التوصل لاتفاق معهم بشأن الشراكة التجارية والاقتصادية.

(المصدر: البورصة)

The Tale of Two Invasions: What the Last Attack on Jenin Tells Us About Israel Now

Tareq Baconi

 Our screens are filled once again with images of weeping women, children, and the elderly marching down the street with their hands raised or waving white garments from slow-moving vehicles. Palestinians have seen this before, having lived through a long history of expulsions from their homes and villages under the threat of fire.

The newest images came in last week during the Israeli invasion of the Jenin refugee camp in the occupied West Bank. Reporters and ambulances of the Palestinian Red Crescent, which struggled to reach the injured, were impeded by military obstacles.

At a Fourth of July event in Jerusalem, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that the Israeli Army had attacked “the most legitimate target on the planet — people who would annihilate our country.” He was referring to months of armed resistance against Israeli settlers by young men in the Jenin refugee camp.

More than 20 years ago, another right-wing prime minister, Ariel Sharon, led an extensive military campaign against the same refugee camp. It was two years into the second Palestinian uprising. Palestinian suicide bombers, some of whom hailed from Jenin, had rocked Israeli streets. In response, the Israeli Army invaded the West Bank and ravaged the Jenin refugee camp, then, as now, a center of Palestinian resistance.

A 7-year-old Palestinian amid the rubble of the Jenin refugee camp following the Israeli incursion in June 2002.
A 7-year-old Palestinian amid the rubble of the Jenin refugee camp following the Israeli incursion in June 2002.Credit…Ruth Fremson/The New York Times
A Palestinian boy inside a destroyed home in the occupied West Bank Jenin refugee camp on Thursday, following a large-scale, two-day Israeli military operation.
A Palestinian boy inside a destroyed home in the occupied West Bank Jenin refugee camp on Thursday, following a large-scale, two-day Israeli military operation.Credit…Zain Jaafar/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The two invasions unfolded in vastly different contexts. Between 2002 and 2023, the illusion of partitioning the land into two states disintegrated. It exists now only in diplomatic talking points, hollowed out of all meaning, and replaced by a consensus among international and Israeli human rights organizations, including B’TselemHuman Rights Watch and Amnesty International, that Israel is practicing the crime of apartheid against Palestinians, vindicating what Palestinians have long believed.

For most Jewish Israelis, this shift is barely perceptible, as they continue to be effectively sheltered from the cost of their government’s policies toward Palestinians. The Palestinians, meanwhile, are experiencing growing despair and fatigue, ground down by the daily structural violence. With the absence of any hope for statehood, and with no viable political leadership to lead the struggle, some take matters into their own hands through armed and unarmed forms of resistance, others are apathetic or preoccupied with the crippling effort to support their families, and many live in fear.

In 2002, though round after round of American-mediated negotiations had faltered, there was still the hope — and the expectation — that a peace process would resume. The two-state solution was touted as the only option for peace. The framework of territorial partition — that Israel would withdraw from the territories it had occupied in 1967 in exchange for peace with the Palestinians and its Arab neighbors — was the dominant policymaking approach.

But as the Second Intifada came to an end, Israel intensified practical measures to expand its occupation and undermine the two-state solution while maintaining the diplomatic pretense of engaging with peace efforts. With the financing of Western and Arab donors, Israel pacified the West Bank with neoliberal incentives even as it hollowed out the core of its economy and carved up the Palestinian territory with expanding settlements. It implemented security coordination measures with the Palestinian Authority, turning the Palestinian government into a key partner for managing local resistance. The Palestinian Authority, for its part, initiated an expansive state-building agenda as it sought to project an image of an authority with control, one that was setting the foundations of a future Palestinian state.

Under Mr. Sharon, Israel also unilaterally reconfigured its occupation of the Gaza Strip, dismantling its settlements and initiating a territorial disengagement that proponents of the two-state solution celebrated — perhaps genuinely, but naïvely — as a step toward peace, one that demonstrated the possibility of Israeli territorial withdrawal paving the way for eventual Palestinian rule.

Like Jenin, the Gaza Strip also has a history of resistance against Israeli occupation. With Hamas’s rise to power in 2006, Israel, in coordination with Egypt, tightened a hermetic blockade on the strip, effectively severing it from the rest of Palestine, and experimented with military techniques to force the population into submission.

Alongside food restriction policies and an economic chokehold, this took the form of devastating military assaults. The military referred to this doctrine as “mowing the lawn,” the approach of using disproportionate military force to periodically weaken Palestinian resistance and manage a restive population chafing against Israeli control.

Last week, Israel turned this military approach, perfected in the Gaza Strip, onto the West Bank, as it cordoned off the refugee camp in Jenin, pummeled it from the air and ground and destroyed crucial infrastructure for water and electricity as a form of collective punishment.

In the time between the two invasions of Jenin, Palestinians throughout the West Bank have been systematically funneled — through land expropriation, home demolitions and expansion of settlements — into isolated urban centers surrounded by land occupied by Israel. Just like Gaza, most urban centers in the West Bank can now be, overnight, entirely severed from the ecosystem around them, as was witnessed in Jenin.

Today, there is no need for Israeli officials to sugarcoat their policies for fear of diplomatic reprisal, or to mitigate against the presumption of eventual partition. The transformation of Israeli political culture that accelerated after the violence of the Second Intifada and the impunity Israel enjoys internationally have culminated in the most right-wing government in Israeli history.

In the two decades between these invasions, Israeli officials have rendered explicit their desire to consolidate what Israeli human rights group B’Tselem has called “a regime of Jewish supremacy” in all the areas under their control. Less than two weeks before the most recent invasion, Israel’s national security minister, Itamar Ben Gvir, prodded the government to launch a military offensive while urging an expansion of settlements in the West Bank. “There needs to be a full settlement here,” he said. “We have to settle the land of Israel and at the same time need to launch a military campaign, blow up buildings, assassinate terrorists. Not one, or two, but dozens, hundreds, or if needed, thousands.”

Meanwhile, the Palestinian Authority, teetering on the wreck of its plans for a state, has been irreversibly integrated into the structure of Israeli apartheid, maintaining a Bantustan-like authority that helps pacify its population for Israeli gains.

Beneath this evolving context is a singular constant: Israel’s ability to sustain its settlement of Palestinian territory without accountability, while equating Palestinian resistance to terrorism. That this framing has long been accepted among the major Western powers is particularly galling for Palestinians in the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, where resistance to illegal occupation is hailed as heroic and supported by Western weapons and military training.

The international community has left Palestinians in a permanent condition of statelessness, denied the right to self-determination and self-defense. While Israeli officials use openly racist statements, like saying Israel should “wipe out” an entire Palestinian town, the Biden administration is pushing for Israel’s integration into the region through bilateral peace deals, building on the Trump administration’s Abraham Accords, with barely a nod to Palestinian rights.
Residents of the Jenin camp, some of whom had fled from their homes in what is now Israel in 1948, are refugees once again. And some of the toddlers who were in the camp in 2002 are now the young men of the Palestinian resistance. As the history of other struggles against apartheid and colonial violence have taught us, today’s children will no doubt take up arms to resist such domination in the future, until these structures of control are dismantled.

(Source: The New York Times)

New report outlines how Golda Meir’s Israel poisoned Palestinian land in ethnic cleansing operation

Jonathan Ofir

Classical Israel apologia portrays the country as a liberal democracy forced to defend itself against hostile Palestinians as its liberal founders held back radical right-wing Zionists who agitated for more aggressive expansion and settlement.

A new bombshell article in Haaretz blows this narrative out of the water. 

The article, “Israel Poisoned Palestinian Land to Build West Bank Settlement in 1970s, Documents Reveal,” by Ofer Aderet, tells the story of the dispossession of the Palestinian village of Aqraba, about three miles from Huwwara in the northern West Bank. Aqraba’s lands were coveted for the purpose of establishing a new Jewish settlement, Gitit. In the end, 83% of the lands of Aqraba, then a village of 4,000 people, were confiscated by Israel, reducing them from 145,000 dunams (36,000 acres) to 25,000 dunams (6,000 acres). 

Here is how the Israelis did it:

‘The first step was dispossessing residents of the nearby Palestinian village of their land under the false pretext of making it a military training zone. When the Palestinians insisted on cultivating the land, Israeli soldiers sabotaged their tools. Soldiers were later ordered to use vehicles to destroy the crops. A radical solution was employed when this failed: a crop duster spread a toxic chemical. The substance was lethal for animals and dangerous for humans.’

The poisoning of the crops was not a vigilante act. It was carefully planned and did not only involve military actors, but it also involved the parastatal Jewish Agency: 

‘A discussion held at [the army’s] Central Command [in April 1972] with the participation of officers, a representative of the settlements department at the Jewish Agency, and the Custodian of Absentee Property was titled “Spraying the irregular areas in the Tel-Tal sector.” Tel-Tal eventually became Gitit… According to the document, the purpose of the meeting was to establish “responsibility and schedule for the spraying.” It also stated that for three days after the spraying, no one was to enter the area “for fear of stomach poisoning.” Animals, the document said, were not allowed to enter for an additional week… Another meeting was held later that month. “There is no objection from this command to carrying out the spraying as planned,” read the minutes. “The Custodian of Absentee Property will see to it that the area’s borders are marked accurately and will direct the plane accordingly.”’

This was Israel under Prime Minister Golda Meir. Not Netanyahu, not Itamar Ben-Gvir, not Bezalel Smotrich –  liberal icon Golda Meir. 

Did this poisoning operation get much attention? Aderet notes “the story briefly made headlines in 1972 when it was reported in foreign media.” Alas, “it didn’t prevent the establishment of the settlement of Gitit on land confiscated from residents of the village of Aqraba, which the military had poisoned.” 

This episode in the ethnic cleansing of Palestine is just one item revealed in a new project by the Taub Center for Israel Studies at New York University, called the Jewish Settlements Archival Project.

The researchers are not at all political activists, as one might think. In fact, Aderet notes that “the researchers were mostly residents of current or past settlements.” The historian Ronald W. Zweig, the outgoing head of the Taub Center, is cited: 

“Reviewing the material enables us to better realize that this huge national enterprise is the result of the initiative taken by Israeli governments for generations. Not only right-wing governments, but all of them.” However, Zweig stressed, “We don’t promote any agenda, but only the research”.

Whether or not the researchers have a political agenda, it is clear that Golda Meir’s government had a voraciously expansive agenda. But Meir knew that one had to watch out not to shout too loudly about it to protect Israel’s reputation and image.  The article cites minutes of a January 19, 1971 cabinet meeting under the title of “Statements and announcements regarding settlements and outposts.” In it, Prime Minister Meir made a special request to the ministers: 

“Before we move forward with our discussion, there’s something I’d like to ask. It was our habit that for anything that has to do with settlements, outposts, land expropriations and so on, we simply do and do not talk [about it]… Lately, this line [of understanding] has broken down, and I’m asking the ministers for the sake of our homeland to hold back, talk less, and do as much as possible. But the main thing, as much as possible, is to talk less… We were not used to ministers appearing in settlements in a ceremony with the press and so on. I ask that it be the same in the future”.

So this was the essential difference between left and right Zionist leaders – how they talk. When Jewish supremacist Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich called to “wipe out Huwwara” four months ago, inciting a pogrom, it was a PR problem for Israel because it was very explicit. But when most of Aqraba’s land was destroyed with poison, it passed almost unnoticed. And Golda Meir made sure that people representing Israel would not broadcast it because that might harm the settlement venture. The important thing was to “do as much as possible” – create “facts on the ground” using just about any means necessary, and get away with it looking like a libera.

(Source: Mondoweiss)

بحلول 2075.. اقتصاد الهند سيتخطى أميركا

سكاي نيوز عربية – أبوظبي

تستعد الهند لأن تصبح ثاني أكبر اقتصاد في العالم بحلول عام 2075، متخطية ليس فقط اليابان وألمانيا، ولكن أيضًا الولايات المتحدة، بحسب البنك الأميركي غولدمان ساكس.

تعد الهند حاليًا خامس أكبر اقتصاد في العالم بعد ألمانيا واليابان والصين والولايات المتحدة.

وكتب البنك الاستثماري الأميركي في بحث حديث له أنه بالإضافة إلى النمو السكاني المتزايد بالهند، فإن الدافع وراء التوقعات هو التقدم في الابتكار والتكنولوجيا، وزيادة الاستثمار الرأسمالي وزيادة إنتاجية العمال.

قال الاقتصادي الهندي في غولدمان ساكس ريسيرش، سانتانو سينغوبتا، “على مدى العقدين المقبلين، ستكون نسبة الإعالة في الهند من أدنى المعدلات بين الاقتصادات الإقليمية”.

تُقاس نسبة الإعالة في بلد ما، بعدد المعالين مقابل إجمالي السكان في سن العمل. وتشير نسبة الإعالة المنخفضة إلى وجود عدد أكبر نسبيًا من البالغين في سن العمل القادرين على إعالة الشباب وكبار السن.

وتوقع سينغوبتا أن الهند سيكون لديها واحدة من أقل نسب الإعانة بين الاقتصادات الكبيرة على مدى السنوات الـ 20 المقبلة.

أعطت حكومة الهند أولوية لإنشاء البنية التحتية، لا سيما في إنشاء الطرق والسكك الحديدية. وتهدف الميزانية الأخيرة للدولة إلى مواصلة برامج القروض بدون فوائد لمدة 50 عامًا لحكومات الولايات من أجل تحفيز الاستثمارات في البنية التحتية.

يعتقد غولدمان ساكس أن هذا هو الوقت المناسب للقطاع الخاص لتوسيع نطاق خلق القدرات في التصنيع والخدمات من أجل خلق المزيد من فرص العمل واستيعاب القوى العاملة الكبيرة.

التكنولوجيا

قال البنك الاستثماري الأميركي غولدمان ساكس إن التقدم في التكنولوجيا والابتكار يتصدر المسار الاقتصادي للهند.

من المتوقع أن تزيد عائدات صناعة التكنولوجيا في الهند بمقدار 245 مليار دولار بحلول نهاية عام 2023، وفقًا لرابطة التجارة غير الحكومية الهندية ناسكوم.

وأشار تقرير ناسكوم إلى أن هذا النمو سيأتي عبر تكنولوجيا المعلومات وإدارة عمليات الأعمال وتدفقات منتجات البرمجيات.

بالإضافة إلى ذلك، توقع بنك غولدمان ساكس أن الاستثمار الرأسمالي سيكون محركًا مهمًا آخر لنمو الاقتصاد الهندي.

“من المرجح أن يرتفع معدل المدخرات في الهند مع انخفاض نسب الإعالة، وارتفاع الدخل، وتعميق تنمية القطاع المالي، مما قد يجعل التجمعات الهائلة لرؤوس الأموال متاحة لدفع المزيد من الاستثمار”، بحسب ما ذكر تقرير غولدمان.

المخاطر السلبية

إن نقاط الضعف القوية (كعب آخيل) في توقعات بنك غولدمان ساكس تكمن في معدل المشاركة في القوى العاملة – وما إذا كان سيرتفع بالمعدل الذي يتوقعه البنك.

وأشار التقرير إلى أن “معدل مشاركة القوة العاملة في الهند قد انخفض على مدى الخمسة عشر عامًا الماضية”، مشددًا على أن معدل مشاركة المرأة في القوة العاملة “أقل بكثير” من معدل مشاركة الرجل.

كتب البنك الاستثماري في تقرير منفصل في يونيو أن “20 بالمئة فقط من النساء في سن العمل في الهند يعملن”، مشيرًا إلى أن الرقم المنخفض يمكن أن يرجع إلى أن النساء يعملن أساسًا بالقطعة، وهو ما لم يتم حسابه. من خلال التدابير الاقتصادية للتوظيف الرسمي.

وقال غولدمان إن صافي الصادرات كان أيضًا عبئًا على نمو الهند، لأن الهند تعاني من عجز في الحساب الجاري. ومع ذلك، سلط البنك الضوء على أن صادرات الخدمات كانت تخفف أرصدة الحساب الجاري.

على عكس العديد من الاقتصادات المعتمدة على التصدير في المنطقة، فإن اقتصاد الهند مدفوع بالطلب المحلي، حيث يُعزى ما يصل إلى 60 بالمئة من نموها بشكل أساسي إلى الاستهلاك المحلي والاستثمارات، وفقًا لتقرير البنك الأميركي.

تشير توقعات “ستاندرد آند بورز غلوبال” و”مورغان ستانلي” إلى تفوق الهند على اليابان وألمانيا لتصبح ثالث أكبر اقتصاد في العالم بحلول 2030.

نما الناتج المحلي الإجمالي الهندي للربع الأول بنسبة 6.1 بالمئة على أساس سنوي، متجاوزًا توقعات “رويترز” بكثير التي كانت تشير لنمو عند 5 بالمئة.

وتشير التقديرات إلى أن معدل النمو للعام بأكمله في الهند سيصل إلى 7.2 بالمئة، مقارنة بنسبة 9.1 بالمئة في السنة المالية 2021-2022.

Political Analysis: Strength of Jenin and the Erosion of Ramallah’s Palestinian Authority

Prof. Dr. Mohsen Mohammad Saleh

This article focuses on two significant points concerning the recent attempt by the Israeli occupation to raid the Jenin Refugee Camp (RC) (3–4/7/2023). Israel called the raid Operation Home and Garden, while the Resistance dubbed it Operation Strength of Jenin.

The first point revolves around the armed resistance and its potential to overcome the bottleneck it is in, survive and expand its influence.

The second point addresses the erosion of power in Ramallah and the decline of the Palestinian Authority (PA)’s role as a national project. Even the value of its functional role of in serving the occupation has diminished.

First: The Resistance and Overcoming the Bottleneck

Despite the Israeli army’s claim of a “very successful” operation in the Jenin RC, the facts on the ground suggest otherwise: Israel has failed to achieve its stated objectives, particularly in eliminating resistance strongholds in Jenin city and its RC, and inflicting significant losses on the resistance fighters and infrastructure.

The invasion involved over a thousand troops supported by 120 military vehicles and 17 airstrikes. The target was an RC covering an area no larger than half a square kilometer. Given the Israel’s military, technological and security capabilities comparable to those of major powers; its control over the occupied territory; and the collaboration of the world with the PA, heavy casualties were to be expected. Twelve Palestinians were killed, and around 100 others were injured, including 20 with severe wounds. Additionally, Israel reported the arrest of 30 Palestinian fighters and destroyed 300 houses, along with a significant portion of the RC’s infrastructure.

However, Israeli forces failed to reach approximately 300 armed resistance fighters, as Israel announced its withdrawal. Israel admitted to intelligence shortcomings, which became apparent on the second day of the operation. The Israeli forces failed to reach the most vital neighborhood, where the fighters were entrenched, known as “Jurat al-Dhahab,” nor could they reach “al-Hawashin” neighborhood. The resistance successfully set up well-planned ambushes in “al-Damaj” neighborhood and the mosque, inflicting significant losses on the Israeli forces. As is customary, Israeli occupation tried to conceal or downplay these losses. The resistance’s tactics, including guerrilla warfare strategies, avoiding direct confrontations, and implementing artificial barriers, smoke screens and camouflage nets, played a crucial role in preserving their larger force.

In this context, there are three indicators that are worth considering:

First: There is unity, coordination and integration among the resistance forces that participated in the battle, including the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) Movement, Hamas, Fatah and others. This strong positive indicator suggests that resistance against the enemy should not necessarily wait for reconciliations, political agreements or the rebuilding of official institutions. Instead, this field unity can serve as a compelling element from the resistance base to the political leadership, paving the way for a genuine national unity based on the fundamentals and confronting the occupation.

Second: Resistance pockets have learned from their lessons and the high costs they have paid as a result of flashy maneuvers or previous security complacency. They have become more professional and capable of inflicting heavy costs on the occupation. This diminishes the criticisms that were directed towards them.

Third: The popular support, especially in Jenin, its RC and villages, has provided a wonderful example of embracing the resistance and its youth, with a high readiness to stand by, support and endorse them. We have witnessed dozens of inspiring examples that fill the hearts with pride and honor (similarly found in Nablus and other places). Perhaps the message found by the fighters in one of the evacuated houses beautifully represents this warm support. The message invites them to make use of the available food and provisions, and informs them of the best way to evacuate the house when needed, as well as the location of hidden money for their use if desired. It assures them that if the house is destroyed due to their presence, it will be considered a sacrifice, “including every single brick.”

These indicators mean that there are better opportunities for the resilience and continuity of the resistance, and even encourage the creation of similar resistance environments in other areas of the West Bank (WB).

However, on the other hand, one should not rush to conclusions about the decisive success of the resistance experiment. These strong resistance pockets are still under occupation, surrounded from all sides and face a vast imbalance of power. The PA in Ramallah still considers pockets hotspots as contradictory to its fundamental role.

Therefore, the risks of launching more severe strikes against these resistance groupings, using excessive destructive force, are still possible, especially if the effects and risks of these resistance pockets to Israel escalate, and Israel would come to fear the spread of these resistance patterns across WB. Additionally, Israel may view this operation as a “reconnaissance by fire” to determine what it may need in a future campaign, especially as the Palestinian people face the most extreme, ferocious and violent Israeli government in the history of Israel.

It appears that the resistance pockets are in a race against time to solidify their strength, expand their circle of influence, and maintain their popular support. Their aim is to reach a point where they become annihilation-proof, where the cost of uprooting them would become much greater than withdrawing and repositioning, and establishing new arrangements for WB.

In general, the required effort is to make the most of available resources, master the management of capabilities and opportunities, and understand the most suitable conditions for either keeping a low profile or expansion. On the other hand, who said that resistance action is subject to “cold” calculations? It is inherently a revolutionary action outside the traditional pattern, with its own conditions, criteria and unique qualitative weights, primarily linked to faith and human ingenuity. The Gaza model is the best example of this.

Second: The Erosion of the Ramallah Authority:

Since the al-Aqsa Intifadah (2000–2005), the PA has been facing gradual erosion, both in its ability to present itself as a national project and in its ability to transform itself into an independent Palestinian state on the 1967 borders. It has also struggled to market itself as a reliable Palestinian entity to the occupation, the US and their allies, in suppressing and marginalizing Palestinian resistance both popularly and politically. Its functional role in serving the occupation is now questioned by the forces that support it.

The Ramallah Authority has lost the trust of the majority of the Palestinian people (less than 20% trust its policies and actions). Its leadership has lost seriousness and credibility, especially after obstructing Palestinian reconciliation and cancelling the legislative and presidential elections in late April 2021.

Furthermore, Fatah, on which the PA relies for “legitimacy” and popular presence, suffers from severe divisions and internal conflicts within its factions, especially with the absence of figures capable of filling the void after Mahmud ‘Abbas. However, the most significant phenomenon, which ultimately benefits the resistance movement, is that broad and growing popular bases of Fatah cadres have expressed their anger towards the PA, its services and security performance, and even its leadership. They have shown a stronger inclination towards the resistance, and many of Fatah elements have joined its ranks. Meanwhile, the voices defending the PA and its practices have faded.

The anger towards the PA leadership (and even Fatah’s leadership) was reflected in the funeral of those killed in the Jenin RC, where figures coming to participate (specifically Mahmud al-‘Aloul and ‘Azzam al-Ahmad) were expelled or excluded. Despite the popular participation of Fatah’s youth elements in this anger, the PA leadership and its supporters tried to blame Hamas and launched a fierce media campaign against it. However, it was not proven that Hamas had any role in the incident, and the state of anger is a genuine sentiment sweeping the Palestinian street, especially since the security forces withdrew from the Jenin RC before the Israeli operation and even arrested fighters who were on their way to support their brethren in the RC, then returned after the Israeli operation to resume their oppressive role against their people.

It is too early to talk about the collapse of the PA, as there is still Israeli-US (and Arab) desire for its existence, as Prime Minister Netanyahu himself and his Defense Minister confirmed in the past few days. The PA has linked the daily lives of around 170 thousand employees, who support nearly one million Palestinians, to its institutions and agencies, and there is no practical alternative to fill the void as many see it.

On the other hand, there is a growing trend that diminishes the potential concerns about the collapse of the PA, despite the existence of Israeli plans to establish cantons in WB, similar to the “village leagues.” This trend cites that the field unity of the resistance action is a response to that, and the fact that the Palestinian people faced the occupation for 26 years (1967–1993) in the pre-PA and pre-Oslo era, demonstrated heroism, and successfully managed the blessed Intifadah of 1987–1993. They also foiled plans for any collaborative institutional structure for the Israeli occupation. The spread of resistance action is a natural response to the occupation, undermining the Oslo pretext and cover for its survival, and preventing it from remaining as a “five-star” colonization.

What concerns us here is the confirmation that there is a national consensus rejecting the PA’s security and functional role, and its erosion will continue until it faces its destiny either by redefining itself in harmony with the will of its people, or by ending its role and disappearing, or by isolating itself from influencing events and the course of history.

(Source: Al-Zaytouna Center)